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Wednesday, October 04, 2006 

Vorbometer Predictions for AML Round 12

Filed under: Premier League

After a month or so break, which was down to 50% work and 50% laziness, the Vorbometer returns just in time for the start of the Premier playoffs. You didn't think I'd miss out in the Semi-Annual DK Playoff Meltdown did you? I'm actually trying to find a new name for it. Choke doesn't cover it and you can only really meltdown once. How can you meltdown something that has already melted down a dozen times? I'm looking for suggestions, but I'm leaning towards the Semi-Annual DK 'OMG I married a 15 ton shetroll and now I'm going to suicide my spacehip online as a statement of how my life has gone to shit". Still needs work I think.

This week I'll only be doing predicts for AML though. I won't bother with the make-up rounds in IML and Pro, but I will start predicting for them again when the playoffs begin next week.

Since I've been gone the AML standings have been shaken up. FnD have pulled away from the rest of the pack and look like certs to make the top two and get to the finals. The other spot is still wide open, with only Warlords out of the running. Right now BU and the resurgent SkyRakers look like the favourites, but don't count out a late season surge from ReDS or SFA to get themselves back in the mix. You can say what you like about the 'new look' AML and it's lack of squads, but the new format with no playoffs has meant that every game counts and has made for an exciting season. This coming Sunday see's the start of the final third and Warlords aside everything is still up for grabs.

Last Sunday saw BU return to winning ways after a two game skid with a comfortable 12-0 win over Warlords who only showed two. FnD kept themselves on top of the standings by coming back from 4-1 down to beat ReDS 12-7 and in the final game SkyRakers showed that there is life after JackMove by taking out SFA 12-6 and extend their winning streak to three.

The round 11 MVP is shared between the only two Warlords who showed up for their game against BENCHERS UNITE; shellshock and Kitchen Sink. The two man turrent of doom managed to last seven scoreless minutes before getting trapped by that SS legend known as a terrier. After the turret was broken up they never got it going again and got targeted out easily. The LVP of the round is shared between the only two Warlords who showed up for their game against BENCHERS UNITE; shellshock and Kitchen Sink. The two man turrent of doom only lasted eleven minutes before going down 6-0 to a BU starting four that featured that lobbing lamer a terrier. Sad.

So here's the long awaited return on the Vorbometer, which this week is brought to you by the Lego vibrator.


SkyRakers (6-5) vs BENCHERS UNITE (6-5)
$$$ Game of the week $$$

(previous games: 12-5 SR*, 12-4 SR)

This is the biggest game of the season so far and will have an impact on not only the top two spots, but also on the make-up round. Whoever wins this will sit alone at #2 in the standings and can cruise into the final. BU already hold the tiebreaker over ReDS so a win here means that only SFA stand in their path. Those two teams play each other in the final regular season round. SR have re-found their mojo since JackMoveGate has blown over and another win over BU here should give them the confidence to go on to win out and secure their own finals slot.

Thrown into this mix is the trashtalking after the second game. I've heard that SR blame a terrier (ie. me) for getting JackMove kicked so slapping them down and killing out a terrier at 2-3 was seen as vindication by certain people on their roster and they weren't shy in bringing it up after the game was over. I don't know where they got the idea it was my doing. OK, so I did do it, but I don't know where they got the idea from.

Stir the pot a few times then add the wildcard of the first game between these two squads into the seriously bubbling mixage. That first SR win gets the Barry Bonds asterisk as it is one of the two JackMove games. At the end of the season SR have to either replay that game in the make-up round or forfeit. So if BU win, but falter down the stretch they have another game in the bank to steal the tiebreaker back off SR and if they lose on Sunday they still have a second bite at the cherry. With all the teams so close it's hard to say whether that first BU/SR game is going to count or not. All BU should be really thinking about is winning this game as it puts their destiny in their own hands; win on Sunday and then win out and they will be in the top two.

SR have the advantage of knowing they've already beaten BU without JackMove and must be confident they can do it again. But how easy is it going to be? BU are the hardest squad to read in all of Premier League, looking IML level one week, to only showing two the next. BU weren't at their best in that second game, which going on past experience probably means that they will be at their best this coming Sunday. JackMove may now be a memory, but SR have a new weapon up their sleeve. With belt gone I was expecting GeminiGirl to step up and become the leader, instead it's been this man .... er, boy ...... person ..... thing:

HELLO MY FUTURE GIRLFRIEND

I speak of none other than the artist formally known as ThorStormTrooper, who in the last two games he's played has gone a combined 7-0. Can you imagine the fear of seeing that rocketing towards you with all guns blazing? I know it would scare the crap out of me and considering that I'm probably going to start for BU in this game that doesn't help their chances any. jee

Vorbometer: 12-10 SkyRakers
Key players: Disturbance (SR), DemonLemon (BU)
Watch out for: Oxy Wipeout Pads


Fly-NDie (8-2) vs StarFire Academy (5-5)
(previous games: 12-3 FnD)

More must-win stuff here. SFA have two games left against FnD. This game on Sunday and one more in the make-up round. SFA have been in a funk lately. Since their 1-0 forfeit win over Warlords in round 8 they have lost to ReDS and SkyRakers while their only win was over BU. But that win is not as strong as it first seems. Ebola lagged out for BU at the start and they had to play the entire game 3v4 and they still almost won.

Meanwhile since their bad loss to BU in week 4 (where they had a 7-2 lead, but blew it after some dumb subs and lost 12-8) FnD have been undefeated and look like making the finals as the #1 team in the standings. I haven't seen them play since that BU game, but they seem to have settled down since then and have a strong starting four. In their six game wining streak they have had five different MVP's which suggests good some teamwork going on.

Meanwhile SFA are still going the feeder team route - trying to play as many people possible in every game. A good move for SFE as a whole, but it's not going to help their chances of making the top two in AML. If SFA lose here they still have games with ReDS, BU and the make-up game with FnD to play, but with SR and then FnD holding the tiebreaker over them I can't see them making the final and will only be a spoiler squad during the run-in. So should Solar stick to his guns and sub out all his starters or should he play his best four for as long as he can to stay in the finals hunt?

Why are you asking me, I don't fucking know. Should be an interesting game to watch though.

Vorbometer: 12-9 Fly-NDie
Key players: Zash (FnD), FoxTrot (SFA)
Watch out for: The RedShift Memorial Four Man Sub from SFA. Here's an interesting snippet for you. Back in AML season 6 when RS did the four man sub it was actually illegal. If all four slots on one team specced at the same time so there was no-one on their side playing, then they automatically lost the game. Back then I was cap of Victimise and I was hoping to use this little piece of knowledge to get a cheap win over them, but we never played each other. We lost to Unforeseen (hi twr) in the semis that season , who then went on to beat Redshift in the final. Since then I think the rule has been changed.


Warlords (2-9) vs ReDS-AML (5-6)
(previous games: 12-6 WL, 12-1 ReDS)

So after two games with all kinds of ramifications we come to ReDS/Warlords where the only question is how many will Warlords show this week? I'm going to throw the Chaos vets a bone and say they will go mad, show three and actually get a kill. Go Chaos!!!11!

Vorbometer: 12-1 ReDS-AML
Key players: Dmax, Army (ReDS)
Watch out for: The three man turrent of doom, although it might end up being another two man turrent of doom and the odds are actually more stacked to it being a one man turrent of doom which isn't even a turrent, just a doomed man. My money's on it being shellshock. Since I don't live in the US I can still internet gamble at howmanymenwillthewarlordsturrentofdoomcontain.com.


you can't do more than one turrenter in 4v4 noob.

p-mav

That's why it's doomed.

Actually you're still supposed to be able to fly a four man turret in AML, but now all three leagues play in the same areas with the same settings you can't.

It is TURRET monkeyboy! look it up in dictionary already!

hahahaha

That was the only time I've ever flown a jav in premier, and probably only one of ten times I've flown one since I started back in 97. It was also the only time I've run as a strategy.

Thanks for my first mention in predictions in 2 years!

Hey look I won the FND game single handedly and then solar hydro almost blew it!

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